Beyond COVID-19: Do biothermodynamic properties allow predicting the future evolution of SARS-CoV-2 variants?
Само за регистроване кориснике
2022
Чланак у часопису (Објављена верзија)
,
Elsevier
Метаподаци
Приказ свих података о документуАпстракт
During the COVID-19 pandemic, many statistical and epidemiological studies have been published, trying to predict the future development of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. However, it would be beneficial to have a specific, mechanistic biophysical model, based on the driving forces of processes performed during virus-host interactions and fundamental laws of nature, allowing prediction of future evolution of SARS-CoV-2 and other viruses. In this paper, an attempt was made to predict the development of the pandemic, based on biothermodynamic parameters: Gibbs energy of binding and Gibbs energy of growth. Based on analysis of biothermodynamic parameters of various variants of SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV that appeared during evolution, an attempt was made to predict the future directions of evolution of SARS-CoV-2 and potential occurrence of new strains that could lead to new pandemic waves. Possible new mutations that could appear in the future could lead to changes in chemical compositio...n, biothermodynamic properties (driving forces of new virus strains) and biological properties of SARS CoV-2 that represent a risk for humanity.
Кључне речи:
Gibbs energy of binding / Gibbs energy of growth / SARS-CoV / MERS-CoV / Mechanistic modelИзвор:
Microbial Risk Analysis, 2022, 22, 100232-Издавач:
- Elsevier
DOI: 10.1016/j.mran.2022.100232
ISSN: 2352-3522
PubMed: 36061411
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85137296331
Институција/група
IHTMTY - JOUR AU - Popović, Marko PY - 2022 UR - https://cer.ihtm.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/6053 AB - During the COVID-19 pandemic, many statistical and epidemiological studies have been published, trying to predict the future development of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. However, it would be beneficial to have a specific, mechanistic biophysical model, based on the driving forces of processes performed during virus-host interactions and fundamental laws of nature, allowing prediction of future evolution of SARS-CoV-2 and other viruses. In this paper, an attempt was made to predict the development of the pandemic, based on biothermodynamic parameters: Gibbs energy of binding and Gibbs energy of growth. Based on analysis of biothermodynamic parameters of various variants of SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV that appeared during evolution, an attempt was made to predict the future directions of evolution of SARS-CoV-2 and potential occurrence of new strains that could lead to new pandemic waves. Possible new mutations that could appear in the future could lead to changes in chemical composition, biothermodynamic properties (driving forces of new virus strains) and biological properties of SARS CoV-2 that represent a risk for humanity. PB - Elsevier T2 - Microbial Risk Analysis T1 - Beyond COVID-19: Do biothermodynamic properties allow predicting the future evolution of SARS-CoV-2 variants? VL - 22 SP - 100232 DO - 10.1016/j.mran.2022.100232 ER -
@article{ author = "Popović, Marko", year = "2022", abstract = "During the COVID-19 pandemic, many statistical and epidemiological studies have been published, trying to predict the future development of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. However, it would be beneficial to have a specific, mechanistic biophysical model, based on the driving forces of processes performed during virus-host interactions and fundamental laws of nature, allowing prediction of future evolution of SARS-CoV-2 and other viruses. In this paper, an attempt was made to predict the development of the pandemic, based on biothermodynamic parameters: Gibbs energy of binding and Gibbs energy of growth. Based on analysis of biothermodynamic parameters of various variants of SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV that appeared during evolution, an attempt was made to predict the future directions of evolution of SARS-CoV-2 and potential occurrence of new strains that could lead to new pandemic waves. Possible new mutations that could appear in the future could lead to changes in chemical composition, biothermodynamic properties (driving forces of new virus strains) and biological properties of SARS CoV-2 that represent a risk for humanity.", publisher = "Elsevier", journal = "Microbial Risk Analysis", title = "Beyond COVID-19: Do biothermodynamic properties allow predicting the future evolution of SARS-CoV-2 variants?", volume = "22", pages = "100232", doi = "10.1016/j.mran.2022.100232" }
Popović, M.. (2022). Beyond COVID-19: Do biothermodynamic properties allow predicting the future evolution of SARS-CoV-2 variants?. in Microbial Risk Analysis Elsevier., 22, 100232. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mran.2022.100232
Popović M. Beyond COVID-19: Do biothermodynamic properties allow predicting the future evolution of SARS-CoV-2 variants?. in Microbial Risk Analysis. 2022;22:100232. doi:10.1016/j.mran.2022.100232 .
Popović, Marko, "Beyond COVID-19: Do biothermodynamic properties allow predicting the future evolution of SARS-CoV-2 variants?" in Microbial Risk Analysis, 22 (2022):100232, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mran.2022.100232 . .