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Procena emisije CO2 iz drumskog saobracaja u republici Srbiji

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2013
bitstream_7055.pdf (974.4Kb)
Authors
Marinković, Dalibor
Popović, Zoran
Stanković, Miroslav
Nikolić-Paunić, Daliborka
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Abstract
Modeling of carbon dioxide emissions from motor vehicles is based on the consumption of motor fuels and normalization of the emission of pollutant derived by combustion of unit volume of fuel, that is, the emission factors. Specifics of Serbian transportation sector and its objective status, together with the development projections, led to the introduction of additional parameter that corrects these emission factors. The model is designed to provide the results in CO2 emission inventories for the period between 2001 and 2025. The model results show a significant annual increase of CO2 emissions in Serbia in the total observed period, from 5.55 Mt to 10.04 Mt, or an annual growth rate of 2.6%. A similar trend was observed in all the neighboring countries.
Modelovanje emisije ugljen-dioksida iz motornih vozila zasnovano je na potrošnji motornih goriva i normiranju emisije ugljen-dioksida dobijenih sagorevanjem jedinične zapremine motornog goriva, to jest emisionih faktora. Specifičnost srpskog saobraćajnog sektora i njegovo objektivno stanje, zajedno sa razvojnim projekcijama, uslovili su uvođenje dodatnog parametra koji koriguje te emisione faktore. Model je koncipiran tako da daje rezultate emisije CO2 za vremenski period između 2001. i 2025. godine. Rezultati modela pokazuju da će se u posmatranom periodu u Srbiji godišnja emisija CO2 značajno povećati, sa 5,55 Mt na 10,04 Mt, ili za godišnju stopu rasta 2,6%. Sličan trend je zapažen i u svim okolnim zemljama.
Keywords:
CO2 emissions inventories / mathematic modeling / road transport / Republic of Serbia
Source:
SYM-OP-IS 2013 (XL Simpozijum o operacionim istrazivanjima), 2013, 775-780
Publisher:
  • Univerzitet u Beogradu, Fakultet organizacionih nauka
Projects:
  • Nanostructured Functional and Composite Materials in Catalytic and Sorption Processes (RS-45001)

ISBN: 978-86-7680-286-9

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http://www.symopis2013.fon.bg.ac.rs/homepage/
http://cer.ihtm.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2917
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